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UK Shopping Centre Investment Market Review, February 2010 (PDF 222KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_InvMarketReview_0210.pdf
Although the data was dominated by three large transactions, 2009 was a significantly more active year than 2008. As more stock begins to emerge 2010 should see a further improvement in deals volume and yields.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast, Q4 2009 (PDF 387KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_reif_q409.pdf
Colliers CRE is forecasting a total return of 3.4% in 2009, followed by another year of improved performance in 2010, with returns reaching 5.7%. The improvement in forecast total returns is driven by greater yield compression during 2009 and 2010 than previously anticipated and by smaller rental growth declines.
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Property Pricing Survey, November 2009 (PDF 456KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_PropertyPricingSurvey_1109.pdf
The total return forecast improved for the first time this year. Both prime and secondary yields have compressed. Property pricing is being determined by the capital markets through to 2011.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast, Q3 2009 (PDF 546KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_reif_q309.pdf
We have revised our 2009 forecasts upwards as yield compression becomes more widespread and prevents capital values from falling much further. Demand from cash buyers for investments in all sectors continues to grow, with interest stemming from a global background. Supermarkets will be the strongest performer in the short term due to a resilient occupational market and investor competition for scarce product.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast, Q2 2009 (PDF 192KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_real_estate_investment_forecast_q209.pdf
The UK commercial property market is characterised by a growing divergence in pricing between the top-tier of prime, well-let, well-located stock and secondary and tertiary stock. Investor demand will continue to focus on the most secure income-producing assets over the next 12 months.
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Property Pricing Survey, March 2009 (PDF 447KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_propertypricingsurvey_0309.pdf
Now is the time to buy, with 54% of respondents favouring retail (46% November 2008) and 46% each choosing office and industrials. Selling is more muted with the retail and industrial sectors each being favoured by 23% of respondents (31% industrial November 2008).
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Real Estate Investment Forecast, Q1 2009 (PDF 654KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_reif_q109.pdf
Total returns to property will be negative for the third year running. This year, the UK economy will experience its largest contraction since the Second World War.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast, Q4 2008 (PDF 185KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_reif_q408.pdf
IPD all-property total returns will fall to -20.4% in 2008. Banks remain focused on recapitalising their balance sheets. Next year could see GDP fall outright by as much as -1.5%.
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Property Pricing Survey, November 2008 (PDF 574KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_propertypricingsurvey43_1108.pdf
Total returns for 2008 are expected to be -16.7%. This was the largest adjustment seen since the survey began in 1994.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast, Q3 2008 (PDF 290KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_reif_q308.pdf
We are forecasting all property total returns of -10.9% in 2008 and there are no signs of the logjam in the lending markets ending.
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Property Pricing Survey, July 2008 (PDF 726KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_propertypricingsurvey_0708.pdf
Total returns for 2008 are expected to be -6.1%, a further downward adjustment of 470 bps from theMarch survey of -1.4%.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast, Q2 2008 (PDF 357KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_reif_q208.pdf
An all property return of -9.0% is forecast for year-end 2008 with a modest recovery to 4.4% in 2009. Total capital falls for 2008 are expected to reach just under 15%.
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Property Pricing Survey, April 2008 (PDF 851KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_specialty/rese_pricingsurvey_0408.pdf
The 2008 total return is forecast to be -1.4% pa, down from 2.0% pa in the November survey.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast, Q1 2008 (PDF 353KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_reif_q108.pdf
An all property return of -2.5% is forecast for year-end 2008 with a modest recovery to 6.2% in 2009. Capital falls of up to 10% are expected by mid-year before renewed investor competition begins to firm the market.
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Property Pricing Survey, November 2007 (PDF 1,648KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_pricingsurvey_1107.pdf
Investment transaction activity has both slowed considerably and become much more selective.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast, Q4 2007 (PDF 443KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_investmentforecasts_q407.pdf
All property in 2007 is expected to be -0.6% with a recovery to 4.0% in 2008.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast Interim Report 2007 (PDF 370KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_investmentforecasts_2007.pdf
Market development has been so rapid since midsummer that we have decided to supplement our quarterly forecast updates with an 'Interim Forecast Update' so as to capture events as they are unfolding.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast Q3 2007 (PDF 471KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_investmentforecasts_q307.pdf
We are forecasting an all property total return for 2007 of 8.8%, following steady rental growth and flat yields in 2007.
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Property Pricing Survey, August 2007 (PDF 461KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_pricingsurvey_0807.pdf
Buying has become more muted in the last quarter. The 2007 total return decreased to 8.8% pa.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast Q2 2007 (PDF 395KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_industrial/rese_investmentforecasts_q207.pdf
Our REIF reports look two years ahead and include concise commentaries on the main investment trends. Latest data forecasts an all-property total return of 9% for 2007.
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Property Pricing Survey, March 2007 (PDF 339KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_pricingsurvey_0307.pdf
Buying continues to be the main investment activity, with offices favoured by 57% of respondents.
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Real Estate Investment Forecast Q1 2007 (PDF 1,648KB)
URL for PDF: /documents/Research_investment/rese_investmentforecasts_q107.pdf
Review and forecast for the real estate investment market.
